So you want to be an amateur election forecaster? Here's step zero.
mattglassman.substack.com
[reprinted and edited from 2012 and 2016 to cover House/Senate rather than electoral college] Scientifically forecasting the presidential election has, in the span of just a few elections, gone from a hobby of some obscure political scientists to a full-blown mainstream media and public obsession. There are lots of forecasting sites out there for the midterm election, the most popular being
So you want to be an amateur election forecaster? Here's step zero.
So you want to be an amateur election…
So you want to be an amateur election forecaster? Here's step zero.
[reprinted and edited from 2012 and 2016 to cover House/Senate rather than electoral college] Scientifically forecasting the presidential election has, in the span of just a few elections, gone from a hobby of some obscure political scientists to a full-blown mainstream media and public obsession. There are lots of forecasting sites out there for the midterm election, the most popular being