I'm starting to once again hear about the "anti-incumbent attitude" of voters, and the effect this will have in 2012. As I wrote back in Spring 2010, I think too many people confuse anti-incumbency with ideological landslide. But I was just fiddling (for other reasons) with some election data, and saw something mildly interesting.
On anti-incumbency and partisan landslides
On anti-incumbency and partisan landslides
On anti-incumbency and partisan landslides
I'm starting to once again hear about the "anti-incumbent attitude" of voters, and the effect this will have in 2012. As I wrote back in Spring 2010, I think too many people confuse anti-incumbency with ideological landslide. But I was just fiddling (for other reasons) with some election data, and saw something mildly interesting.