John Sides and friends on whether or not GOP primary voters care about electability. Seth Masket explains why all the cultural-divide-predicts-election stories are worthless. Jordan Ragusa follows up. This Nate Silver forecast post for Iowa is a good read for thinking about how to forecast, although a bit out of date in those fast-changin' Hawkeye polls.
Link'in Park
Link'in Park
Link'in Park
John Sides and friends on whether or not GOP primary voters care about electability. Seth Masket explains why all the cultural-divide-predicts-election stories are worthless. Jordan Ragusa follows up. This Nate Silver forecast post for Iowa is a good read for thinking about how to forecast, although a bit out of date in those fast-changin' Hawkeye polls.